Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 3068.293853 3296.928070 3526.163905 3772.923209 4030.714993 4291.772325 4575.803502
2025-08-03 2672.550241 3018.168440 3375.546608 3771.468942 4196.603051 4638.235804 5130.521718
2025-08-10 2420.203615 2838.617906 3281.384250 3782.303555 4330.781248 4910.714946 5567.892412
2025-08-17 2204.768622 2673.360267 3179.270392 3761.917701 4410.336066 5105.937000 5904.698951
2025-08-24 2055.391442 2566.498845 3128.066854 3784.775794 4525.704692 5330.165507 6264.021508
2025-08-31 1897.703281 2438.280332 3042.342580 3759.049758 4578.086348 5477.261218 6531.444209
2025-09-07 1808.547081 2382.137188 3032.477056 3813.626040 4715.916356 5715.612360 6897.179925
2025-09-14 1703.537119 2300.603720 2987.457872 3822.498657 4797.136438 5886.559544 7184.169644
2025-09-21 1601.920883 2217.288365 2935.302374 3818.451290 4859.514106 6032.906634 7440.670762
2025-09-28 1473.239604 2094.575346 2830.732360 3747.491562 4839.509725 6081.047783 7581.732552
2025-10-05 1463.815125 2118.023493 2900.873682 3883.572562 5061.927734 6408.965517 8044.802716
2025-10-12 1419.318724 2094.742937 2912.048567 3947.111621 5197.363511 6635.165365 8390.136743
2025-10-19 1352.210616 2041.246721 2885.607097 3965.558628 5280.641443 6802.983426 8671.513611
2025-10-26 1279.281583 1977.243985 2843.803886 3963.435657 5338.093877 6939.980103 8917.123093
2025-11-02 1217.705498 1925.163016 2814.520959 3974.618194 5409.919442 7092.760018 9180.486794
2025-11-09 1146.000676 1856.351128 2761.266636 3953.559251 5440.528028 7195.043404 9383.185961
2025-11-16 1098.241652 1817.650990 2744.841780 3977.171807 5524.679031 7360.552885 9660.434279
2025-11-23 1032.607275 1751.545285 2690.448635 3950.596533 5545.181717 7448.266567 9844.096132
2025-11-30 1004.538464 1736.351248 2701.726018 4006.972034 5668.087399 7659.407628 10175.441745
2025-12-07 959.596270 1695.374928 2677.302855 4016.136305 5731.070543 7797.239435 10418.511182
2025-12-14 912.136530 1648.752359 2643.673244 4011.955925 5776.192341 7912.553918 10634.012003
2025-12-21 842.032606 1566.160709 2558.893300 3938.656132 5731.986329 7916.892043 10713.922151
2025-12-28 851.977777 1602.053917 2636.188485 4079.211426 5960.376732 8257.508151 11203.567537